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Weve seen the Patriots in the Super Bowl far too many times over the last 20 years and we sure as hell have seen Brady hoist the Lombardi Trophy too often. Instead, the offense get 7 minus the expected 6.4 points teams usually score from the opponents one yard line. Can Thunder's struggling D slow a better-than-ever Warriors offense? The ultimate goal of FPI is not to rank teams 1 through 128; rather, it is to correctly predict games and season outcomes. ESPN FPI is more of a predictive model based off efficiency that measures team strength meaning it's often based on actual execution rather than head-to-head matchups and such though it. Barking Carnival has last year's pre-season FPI on its website (thank you /u/butchplz for linking).Preseason #3 Auburn ended up 8-5.Preseason #7 Oklahoma ended up 8-5.Preseason #8 Stanford ended up 8-5.Preseason #9 SCAR ended up 7-6.Preseason #10 TAMU ended up 8-5.Preseason #14 LSU ended up 8-5.Preseason #18 Michigan ended up 5-7.Preseason #19 UNC ended up 6-7.Preseason #21 OKState ended up 7-6.Preseason #22 Florida ended up 7-5.Preseason #24 Michigan State ended up 11-2, the first big miss on the list in the other direction.Preseason #25 Texas ended up 6-7.By my count, that's 12 of the top-25 with laughably bad predictions. Notre Dame put. Key stats to know. Half of their misses were when the team that won had a 40-50% chance of winning. Clemson would go on and beat Oklahoma in the first round, but eventually lose to Alabama in the national championship game. The 2021 SEC football season kicked off last Saturday with a loaded Week 1 slate. The NCAA mens basketball tournament has used a selection committee similar to the College Football Playoff committee to select the field and assign a seed to each team. However, there are other factors working against the playoff committee. To sign up for The Power Rank's free email newsletter, enter your best email and click on "Sign up now!". The main component of preseason FPI is Vegas expectations; the expected win totals and money lines for each team are an accurate representation of predicted team strength and provide a strong . Therefore, we track how well a system is calibrated, and as can be seen in the chart above, when FPI gave a team between a 70 percent and an 80 percent chance to win, those teams actually won 73 percent of the time. The Seminoles fell apart in the playoff semifinal against Oregon, losing 59-20. FPI is accurate, but it isn't anything for ESPN to brag about. To put this in perspective, the team favored by the closing line in the gambling markets won 61.5% of games according to The Prediction Tracker (208-130 with no prediction in one game). Here is a look at all of the games that they got wrong. However, combining the ballots of many humans cancels out the small errors made by each one. These treasures have become the only team previews I read each season. The 2 that they missed were Oregon State over Stanford and UCLA over Utah. Efficiency Measured by success rate, or 50% of the necessary yards on 1st down, 70% on 2nd down, and 100% on 3rd and 4th down. Strength of schedule without margin of victory results in poor rankings for making predictions, and you should avoid these rankings. Once the season is underway, the main piece of information powering these offensive, defensive and special teams predictions is past performance from that seasons games, in terms of expected points added per game. Points scored minus points allowed divided by number of games, a raw number that makes no adjustment for schedule. EPA is the foundation for FPI. Original win probability: 18.4% Still the most difficult game on BYU's schedule according to ESPN FPI. Over half of the games for the Pac-12 this season have now been played (51 out of 90), even though some teams have not yet played half of their games. 1 Alabama and No. Preseason FPI will serve as the basis of the early-season predictions but will diminish in effect as the season progresses and we learn more about the actual strength of each team. The next paragraph is a brief explanation if you aren't familiar with FPI. The Top 10 Things to Know About The Power Ranks Methods, Podcast: Andy Molitor on college basketball betting, Members: Alabama and the 2023 NCAA tournament. That is 43 correct games and 8 wrong, or an accuracy of 84%. Evidenced by the lack of parity since the inception of the College. Explosiveness Measured by equivalent points per play, a metric similar to the expected points added used by ESPNs FPI. Each teams FPI rating is composed of predictive offensive, defensive, and special teams value, as measured by a function of expected points added (EPA). But relying solely on Vegas has its flaws, and more information is needed to determine what percentage of a team's projected win total can be attributed to its offense, defense and special teams units -- the components that make up FPI. Reddit and its partners use cookies and similar technologies to provide you with a better experience. 69. Since it was way too much work to calculate every single result we have so far in college football, I limited the results below to SEC games only. It is important to note what FPI is not -- FPI is not a playoff predictor, and it is not designed to identify the four teams most deserving of making the College Football Playoff. And if you are wondering, WSU had an 11.2% win projection in the game against Wisconsin in the preseason and that moved to 7.1% the week of that game. [7] Oklahoma would pass Ohio State for the top spot after week 3. However, this is a mistake. Boise State at Oregon State. After dipping to just a 28 percent chance of winning six games after week one, the ESPN FPI now gives UofL a 74.1 percent chance of going .500 in 2021. UCLA had a 41.6% win probability. As you can see, they did better than expected in every range except the 90-100% range, but that was off by only by a small amount. NHL. There is some debate about it, mostly because ESPN doesn't share many details about how it is calculated. Cookie Notice If a starting quarterback is out (or there is a chance he will be out), FPI accounts for how much better he is than his backup, and the difference between the two is accounted for in the game-level projection. ESPNs FPI had ASU with a 90.5% win probability. Although Penn State started off lower in the top 20 of the two major. Analytics also shows which rankings you can safely ignore. All of these factors are combined to make up each single-game projection. The college football playoff committee has made strength of schedule a buzzword. Anthony Davis fills up stat sheet against Suns, Coming off 2017 and looking ahead, it's a great time to be a Georgia fan, Lou Williams has been Stephen Curry-like of late for Clippers, Wizards have a fivesome that ranks among the best in the game, It's a great time to be the Rockets' defense, Seahawks QB Russell Wilson in MVP-caliber form. Ill also take a look at their projections for the rest of the season. Its worth noting that the results of analytics such as FPI are not black-and-white -- they give us likelihoods of outcomes, not certainties. FPI, along with other metrics from ESPN, have been criticized for its inaccuracy, relying more on probabilities and less on in-game action. Altitude: There are only a few teams that experience an altitude advantage, but stadium altitude was found to be predictive. Percentage-wise or overall game records. Percentage-wise or overall game records. Each quarterback's efficiency is determined based on past performance (using similar components as what we use to build up Total QBR), adjusted for an aging curve, and the players without any prior experience are set at replacement level. Be sure to check out more sports stories at BroBible here. We use only four statistics one each for rushing, passing, scoring and play success. ESPN. NFL FPI; Total QBR; Injuries; . FPI gives the Gators a 78.9 percent chance. However, if you look at just the games since the the first week, the accuracy is about the same: 83.7% instead of 84.3%. According to ESPN's FPI, Aaron Rodgers' team has a 33.7 percent chance to the Chiefs' roughly 30 percent. AZ, CO, CT, IL, IN, IA, KS, LA, (select parishes), MD, MI, NH, NJ, NY, OH, OR, PA, TN, VA, WV, WY, CA-ONT only.Eligibility restrictions apply. Do you make these 3 mistakes with college football statistics? There are a number of other NFL power ratings out there -- FiveThirtyEight (Elo Ratings), Pro Football Reference (SRS), Jeff Sagarin and others have created systems to rate NFL teams -- but FPI has a few additional features (like incorporating quarterback injuries) that sets it apart. There are a number of unique inputs into each game prediction, however, that are worth highlighting: On-field performance in previous games: Team performance is measured by expected points added per play, which helps control for the extremely fast- or slow-paced teams. How do you determine the best team in college football? Although team ratings provide fodder for debate, the ultimate goal of these projections is not to rate teams -- it is to predict performance going forward. He is a difficult prospect to evaluate because he possesses many of the traits you see in a prototypical NFL quarterback prospect (namely his mental makeup, size, arm strength . Beyond generating FPI, programming in the logic to determine . They flipped the favorite from the preseason on 2 games where they ended up being correct (Oregon State at Fresno State and Oregon State at Stanford) and 2 where they ended up being wrong (UW at UCLA and UW at Arizona State). I decided to investigate how accurate of a ranking system it is. More games are played in higher altitude in the NFL (most notably in Denver, Colorado), the NFL season goes longer into winter, and there is a stronger effect on who the quarterback is at the professional level. If you feel like you're losing control over your gambling experience, call 1-800-GAMBLER (NJ, PA, WV), 1-800-9-WITH-IT (IN), 1-800-BETS-OFF (IA), 1-888- 532-3500(Virginia) 1-800-522-4700 (NV, TN), 1-800-522-4700 (CO, TN), 1-855-2CALLGA (IL), 1-800-270-7117 (MI). AP: A lot of work also has to be done to get things ready for analysis, such as ensuring the accuracy of our play-by-play data. "He checks a lot of boxes. Alabama was listed second with a 33% chance to win the playoff. Michigan State at Washington. Mel Kiper Jr. offers up 20 players -- 10 on offense, 10 on defense -- whose skills represent the complete football skill set. A predicted 10-2 record for the season, 2 losses:vs. Oklahoma (18.6%)@ Oklahoma State (27.5%), All the other predictions:vs. Baylor (51.5%)vs. Notre Dame (56.8%)@ Cal (58.7%)@ Texas Tech (59.6%)vs. TCU (61%)vs. West Virginia (62.7%)@ Kansas State (69%)@ Kansas (89.4%)vs. Iowa State (89.9%)vs. UTEP (98.5%), New comments cannot be posted and votes cannot be cast. Visit ESPN to view the Men's College Basketball Power Index (BPI) for the current season. The most recent year counts almost twice as much as the three years before it. * 21+ (19+ CA-ONT) (18+ NH/WY). Heres a look at the same breakdown as above for the win projection ranges. Be sure to follow him on Twitter @ItIsMarkHarris. Theres a 10% chance we see the Pats and Bucs play for the Super Bowl. For example, suppose the offense gains 20 yards from that 1st and 10 from their own 20 yard line. They need to rank 25 teams, not the sixty some teams of the NCAA tournament. First, Ill look at their projections before the season started (preseason predictions). Washington State at Wisconsin. That should be expected to happen occasionally (almost half of the time)-thats why it is 40-50% rather than lower (like 0%). Brian Fremeau looks back on Week 1 in college football and puts the opening games in their proper context. Strength of Record (SOR) is a measure of team accomplishment based on how difficult a team's W-L record is to achieve. Terms at draftkings.com/sportsbook. Bill Connelly, SB Nations college football analytics guru, writes a preview for each and every FBS team, even New Mexico State. Seth Walder (@SethWalder) December 7, 2021. Yes, they missed some games (like WSU-Wisconsin and UW-Michigan State), but theyve been correct much more often than theyve missed-even on the conference games. For example, the preseason AP poll is not only useful during the season but makes good predictions on bowl games. You can reach him at Mark@BroBible.com. Fremeau publishes his drive based numbers both on his own site and Football Outsiders. Can Thunder's struggling D slow a better-than-ever Warriors offense? Ken Massey compiles over a hundred of them on his site. How does one evaluate a team in the context of which teams they have played? Gambling problem? These four factors are combined to make the final rankings. I make predictions for this system by translating it to a new scale that allows for making predictions. 124. Rest: An extra week of rest makes a difference, particularly when facing a team coming off short rest. However, last preseason the FPI. In one case they were in. NCAAM. ESPNs latest Super Bowl predictions will likely make most NFL fans angry. 81 percent to 90 percent. Considers neither strength of schedule nor margin of victory. Stroud was known more for his accuracy at Ohio State than as a runner, completing 69.3% of his passes for 8,123 yards and 85 touchdowns to only 12 . They had close calls against Notre Dame, Miami and Georgia Tech. Oregon State had a 49.8% win probability. +3 means the home team is favored to win by 3 points and -3 means the visitor is favored by 3 points. The altitude of the game, seasonal effects, and any quarterback injury/suspension/absence is taken into account with NFL FPI. Lets see how they did. 16-3, 2nd Big 12. Copyright 2008-2023 BroBible. Create an account to follow your favorite communities and start taking part in conversations. I used the spreads from Football Study Hall's weekly picks. As you can see, so far they have been fairly consistent with their projected ranges. Send me an email here. WSU had just a 11.2% win probability. FPI assigns a point value to each FBS team, so it is able to rank all of them from 1-128. It's tougher than ever for prospects to fly under the radar, but it still happens. He is a regular contributor on SportsCenter and ESPN Radio and writes weekly for ESPN Insider. For example, if a team wins by an average of 10 points per game, it could be that plus-seven of that is offense, plus-four is defense and minus-one is special teams. But FPI is one of the best polls at predicting game outcomes this year among all computer polls which is what it's meant to do. Below Ive compiled all 51 games and grouped them by the projected win percentages for the favored team. The priors are based on the adjusted EPA so that no team dominates.[5]. We do not know the equation they use, the factors they consider, how they weight the inputs, or how they calculate SoS recursively. The latter site also combines FEI with S&P+ to obtain the F/+ rankings, an aggregate picture of team, offense and defense in college football. Will the College Football Playoff committee do this well with their rankings? They use the Simple Ratings System, a least squares method for ranking teams, to adjust EPA for strength of schedule. The AP poll didnt do much worse at 58.8% of winners (154-108 with no prediction in 77 games). In short, if preseason FPI, which was run retroactively to 2005, had been used with no update to predict every game over the last 10 seasons, the FPI favorite would have won 72 percent of FBS-versus-FBS games (Vegas closing line was 75 percent accurate). Heres how ESPNs Football Power Index (FPI) projects the outcome of each of the 13 Week 2 games featuring SEC teams: FPI is a predictive rating system designed to measure team strength and project performance going forward. NCAAW. These are absolutely abysmal. How has ESPNs FPI done in predicting the Pac-12 games so far this season? To see the preseason AP and Coaches poll for 2015, click here. Currently there are differences in which team is favored now compared to the preseason in 7 of them: WSU at Arizona (now WSU), Arizona State at Stanford (now Stanford), Arizona State at WSU (now WSU), Oregon State at Arizona State (now Oregon State), California at Colorado (now California), WSU at Stanford (now WSU), and USC at UCLA (now USC). In conjunction with the opponent adjustment, FPI uses a Bayesian regression to update each teams offense, defense and special-team components, which combine to produce the rating. FPIs rating is based on the average number of points by which team would beat an average NFL (or college) team on a neutral field. Win percentage. It's similar to how we calculate chemical bonding energies, where you make a first-order guess, then apply those calculations to the next round of calculations, then apply those, and the following, etc. The Auburn Tigers at No. 1 Alabama and No. I added 3 points to whoever the home team is, because that is considered the standard amount to add. Invest in us! ESPNs preseason FPI projected that Arizona had 32.9% win probability. [1], In 2016, FPI favorites won 73 percent of games in the regular season, which was a higher success rate than the Las Vegas closing lines.[2]. How recursive and what that formula is, though we have no clue.We know that ESPN clears its previous year FPI rankings from its website. This was the only thing I saw on their website. Over the years, fans have clamored for ESPN to open the black box of FPI and share more information. Projected rankings are based on 10,000 simulations of. Steve Palazzolo identifies 12 players who deserve more attention from NFL teams. What is the predictive accuracy of ESPN's FPI for game matchups? With a good ranking, a higher ranked teams should more often than not beat a lower ranked team. In addition, there is criticism of the week-by-week changes that FPI makes, rather than making one prediction for each team.[6]. In its first publicly available season, the FPI favorite won 63 percent of NFL games, which is comparable with the Vegas closing line, and proved to be well calibrated in a small sample. Surprisingly, their accuracy was identical: 43 correct and 8 wrong or 84%. As college football fans, we do not agree with every prediction or rating, but in total, FPI has proven to be accurate. ESPN defines the FPI as: A measure of team strength that is meant to be the best predictor of a team's performance going forward for the rest of the season. FPI represents how many points . BYU will travel to Las Vegas to take on Notre Dame in Allegiant Stadium. QB injuries/suspensions/absence: A key differentiating factor for FPI's game-level predictions is its ability to account for quarterbacks missing games. Another Iron Bowl clash between No. Accuracy of ESPN FPI preseason win projections for Pac-12 teams through week 6 As you can see, so far they have been fairly consistent with their projected ranges. 33. However, the defense declined in 2014, and Florida State no longer dominated opponents. FPI is easily the worst of the major calculated polls. This page was last edited on 15 October 2019, at 14:11. Ultimately the Football Power Index gives us a tool to project that future. ), TCU, Indiana, Nebraska, Rutgers, and UCF are all among other humongously wrong predictions, and the list goes on and on and on. They could drive the length of the field for a touchdown for +7 points or kick a field goal for +3 points. FPIs 1-through-128 rankings are fun to debate, but the ultimate goal is to correctly handicap games. We support responsible gambling. The only single position that impacts FPI is the quarterback position (only NFL), as predictive QBR is added. To see the top 35 college football teams in Massey-Peabody, click here. For example, MSU has a score of 14.7, which means that this system believes that if MSU played an average FBS team enough times, MSU would win by an average of 14.7 points. Here are the projections for these games including the win projections from the preseason and their current projections. By accepting all cookies, you agree to our use of cookies to deliver and maintain our services and site, improve the quality of Reddit, personalize Reddit content and advertising, and measure the effectiveness of advertising. Neither value is significantly different than for all of the games, but that will be something to watch as the season progresses. Lets look at two recommended points based computer rankings that make good predictions. Despite returning most of their starters the Rams are entering a transition season. The preseason AP and Coaches poll have remarkable predictive power, even during Bowl season. Matchups to watch. Nine Big 12 teams were present in the top 15 of ESPN's FPI rankings for strength of schedule in the country. Bold predictions. FPIs game predictions begin with each teams FPI and then add information on game site, number of days of rest, distance traveled and game type (bowl game, conference championship game, regular season or non-FBS). At one point, FPI had Mississippi as the best team in the nation, and it is currently ranking Southern Cal as the sixth best team in the nation, despite their 3-3 record. NBA. No thanks, I'll make my predictions without data and analytics. One of the key metrics is # of times David Pollack has spontaneously ejaculated when thinking about your team. No one sports writer or coach can create a perfect ranking. Can Rudy Gobert-less Jazz keep pesky Nuggets off the glass? For example, in the 2015-2016 college football playoff, FPI listed the Oklahoma Sooners as the team with the highest chance to win the playoff at 39%, while the Clemson Tigers were listed at third highest at 17%. Another issue is that the spread to a game isn't agreed on everywhere, so the results might be slightly different if I used another source to get the spreads. I think it's intentionally ambiguous to give the illusion of complexity and validity. This is their highest rated QBR game apparently. This might seem crazy, but Ill back it up with data below. In the preseason, these components are made up entirely of data from previous seasons, such as returning starters, past performance, recruiting rankings and coaching tenure (more on the preseason component below). Over the last 10 seasons, the FPI favorite has won 75 percent of FBS-versus-FBS games, which is comparable to the Vegas closing line. College Football Prediction Tracker The prediction average is the average prediction of a set of computer ratings. For Oregon and Notre Dame, not all was lost on the first Saturday of the fall. Utah at UCLA. 6 Auburn, Kirk Cousins thriving even when Redskins are not, Lonzo Ball, De'Aaron Fox meet for first time in NBA as Lakers visit Kings. Jan 24th, 6:00PM. Because of the level of detail in each simulation and the exhaustive process in building the model (see details on process here) we are confident that it will be remain of the most accurate systems out there for the upcoming season. With this small sample size, teams can look much better by their record than they deserve. For example, Oregon State had been the underdog to Fresno State in the preseason (48.4%), but after they beat Boise State, ESPN changed them to be the favorite (52.2%). ESPN's Football Power Index (FPI) college football rankings are a measure of team strength that means to predict a team's performance. I think you can take it from there. To show this, we ask how often the higher ranked team in the poll beat a lower ranked team in a bowl game. ESPN's computer prediction system, Football Power Index, went about making its picks for just that as we get closer to kickoff. Injuries and bad bounces that effect the outcome of games happen all the time. For example, if the offense gets the ball only a yard from the end zone, they should not get full credit for scoring the touchdown. Connelly provides a sense for the importance of each factor in his original article on footballs five factors. (5:02). The humans of AP and Coaches have no games upon which to base their ballots. 11 in ESPN's FPI after securing a hard-fought 16-10 victory on the road against Wisconsin. The scoring component is similar to the points based rankings mentioned earlier. The results on the predictive power of rankings are often surprising and counter intuitive. Expected points added, or EPA, is a measure of success/failure that takes into account yards, turnovers, red zone efficiency and more to determine how many points each unit is contributing to the team's scoring margin. Field Position Measured by average starting field position, a number affected by special teams. Ive been tracking ESPNs FPI projections throughout the season and thought that this would be a good time to take a look to see how their projections have fared so far. It is important to note what FPI is not -- FPI is not a playoff predictor, and it is not designed to identify the four teams most deserving of making the College Football Playoff. You would naturally be skeptical, and that is the necessary case here. The SEC SoS circular logic is already in full swing. Dont forget about preseason expectations. 2023 The Power Rank Inc., All rights reserved. Projected winner: According to ESPN's Football Power Index, Florida is projected as a comfortable favorite on the road against Ole Miss on Saturday. Projected results are based on 10,000 simulations of the rest of the season using FPI, results to date, and the remaining schedule. For Whom the Cowbell Tolls, a Mississippi State Bulldogs community. He has kept the same name despite adding two addition factors to the calculation. And to put it in perspective, their QBR ranking is also terrible. Even when those teams are in the same conference, their chances to win that conference can differ significantly given their divisions and competition within those divisions. Except for the California-Colorado game, there is not much difference in these games between the preseason and the current projections. Invest in us!" Most likely, they use yards per play for the rushing and passing numbers. FPI is ESPN's proprietary predictive poll - most of the big computer polls in CFB are proprietary for reference, I think Colley was the only one of the six BCS computer to disclose its formula. Modern college football rankings go beyond the final score and use the play by play data from each game. These are the goals with every correspondence, which cover bets on the NFL and college football. Ive heard some Husky fans say that ESPNs FPI relies too much on the previous season. Call 1-800-GAMBLER. Raw margin of victory. Eli Drinkwitzs Mizzou squad travels to Kentucky to face the fellow 1-0 Wildcats on Saturday night in Lexington, the first game of SEC conference play. Well have to see if their preseason projections or their weekly updates end up being more accurate. A breakdown of the top 5 candidates, Georgia teammates have incredible reaction to Nolan Smith's 40 time at NFL Combine, Bruce Pearl tosses headset during radio interview after Auburn-Alabama game, Oklahoma softball no-hits No. There is a black box which they put numbers into and out comes what is supposed to be received as a voice of authority, yet we know not where this wisdom comes from. EPA breaks down points added in every way, thus having different factors for the teams offense, defense, and special teams units. To answer the question of whether those misses were within the expected range or not (too many misses), I looked at the win projections for the games and whether they fell into the expected win percentages. EPA per play is a measure of efficiency that serves as the basis for how FPI evaluates individual units and quarterbacks. Troy, don't require much skill to pick. Just for fun I checked out Texas' FPI predictions for the season, and all but 2 games had Texas over 50%. The biggest beneficiary of the altitude impact is Denver, which receives a small, but notable (about 0.3 points per game) increase in its chance of winning at home, compared to a team without an altitude advantage. In the worst case, an interception gets returned for a touchdown, netting -7 points for the offense. It's basically an algorithm that predicts who will win the game. Lets stop to appreciate this predictive accuracy. Call 1-800-GAMBLER. A predicted 10-2 record for the season 2 losses: "Very fast processor, very poised, accurate passer," Reich said of Young, who completed 64.5% of his passes in 2022. BroBible is the #1 place on the internet for the very best content from the worlds of sports, culture, gear, high tech, and more. Here is how ESPNs FPI did with their preseason win projections for the games played so far. Here's a closed-lab test which you cannot research directly. The ultimate goal of FPI is not to rank teams 1 through 128; rather, it is to correctly predict games and season outcomes. Do Not Sell or Share My Personal Information. "Very fast processor, very poised, accurate passer," Reich said of Young, who completed 64.5% of his passes in 2022. It's a stat ESPN made up to prop up the SEC during its CFP ranking shows. AZ, CO, CT, IL, IN, IA, KS, LA, (select parishes), MD, MI, NH, NJ, NY, OH, OR, PA, TN, VA, WV, WY, CA-ONT only.Eligibility restrictions apply. For example, an additional 5 1/2 days of rest more than your opponent is worth one point per game (all else being equal), and every additional 1,000 miles traveled more than your opponent costs you a point. Can Rudy Gobert-less Jazz keep pesky Nuggets off the glass? I use a similar ensemble method in the college football rankings and predictions for members of The Power Rank, and I most often check my results with those of Massey-Peabody. At one point, FPI had Mississippi as the best team in the nation, and it is currently ranking Southern Cal as the sixth best team in the nation, despite their 3-3 record. Over the past 10 years, a sample of 339 bowl games, the preseason Coaches poll predicted 59.9% of bowl game winners (163-109 with no prediction in 67 games with two unranked teams). Pac-12 ESPN FPI Prediction Accuracy So Far This Season, Preseason win projection accuracy for each Pac-12 team through week 6, Accuracy of ESPN FPI preseason win projections for Pac-12 teams through week 6, Weekly win projection accuracy for each Pac-12 team through week 6, Accuracy of ESPN FPI weekly win projections for Pac-12 teams through week 6, ESPN FPI win projections for Pac-12 teams after week 6, One veteran DB is medically retiring and we have spring weight/number change info, Jaxson Kirkland, Henry Bainivalu in action Sunday, Slow Start on Senior Night Dooms Dawgs in 93-84 Defeat, Washingtons defense was shredded to pieces by the Cougars all night, Coachs Corner: UW in the Realignment Era, Making sense of recent developments in the Pac-12 media negotiations, realignment rumors, and what Id like to see happen for UW, Pre-Spring Pac-12 Transfer Portal Rankings: Part II, Finishing our look at the teams in the conference who have finished in the top half at navigating the transfer portal this offseason.