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Jason Heyward posts cryptic Instagram message about Cubs future - MSN This production is, quite frankly, incredible. It was a massive year-to-year swing, as Bogaerts concentrated on getting hits the other way. Quite obviously, Im lukewarm on Heyward, and his upside might merit a few dollars more, but Id need to see him take a step forward before I start paying for him as a frontline fantasy cornerstone. To isolate players similar to Heyward, I looked for players from 1960 to 2007 within five of Heywards 27.8 WAR and within 20% of his 3429 plate appearances. Greatest Careers Through Age 25 Since World War II, Jason Heyward WAR Comps, Age 26 to Age 30, Jason Heyward WAR Comps, Age 26 to Age 35, Jason Heyward Offense-Only Comps Through Age 25, Jason Heyward Offense-Only Comps, Age 26 Through Age 35, Jason Heyward Defense-Only Comps Through Age 26, Jason Heyward Defense-Only Comps, Age 26 Through Age 35. Whatever the name, it might become a problem for them. Jason Heyward Reality Check | FanGraphs Membership Maybe you heard that some guy named Jason Heyward made the Atlanta Braves' Opening Day roster. Updated: Saturday, March 4, 2023 4:51 PM ET, Park Factors There are not enough players here to draw conclusions, but it might be worth looking into whether good, young defensive players age better overall as hitters. As to the first, this is not the article to convince someone about advanced defensive metrics, but his highlight-reel catches, mutiple Gold Gloves and three Fielding Bible awards seem to indicate there is some consensus from all viewpoints on the excellence of Heyward as a fielder. The Weakest Positions on National League Contenders Ottoneu Fantasy Baseball. Can you imagine what he would have batted if he had been in the Carolina League or the Pac-12 over the past couple of years? Time now for our annual spin through players whose luck in 2022 was worse (or better) than their fortune deserved. Granted, we cant just assume that Heyward will stay healthy from here on out (he had a thumb injury as a rookie and had some minor hip and shin ailments before that), but those are conservative projections if he does come to camp with a mended shoulder. But lets diagnose why Atlantas prodigy is turning in a subpar sophomore season. Interestingly, although Heyward swung less frequently than in any season since his 2010 debut, he finished with a 10.3% walk rate thats below his career average and set a new personal low for pitches per plate appearance. Dodgers 'believe' in Jason Heyward; can swing change revive his career? For an awfully consistent hitter, Jason Heyward is considered an awfully frustrating hitter. Sources - Fangraphs, Baseball Savant, MLB.com, Baseball Reference. In 2022, Heyward will earn a base salary of $22,000,000, with a total salary of $24,500,000. Heywards main drawback, perhaps only drawback, as a player seeking more than $100 million is his lack of power. Interesting stuff, but isnt this potentially terrible news for Heyward given that the spring spray chart only shows a significant pull increase on ground balls rather than all contact and pulled ground balls have by far the lowest success rate of any balls in play? Obviously, Heyward is nowhere near as good as Rodriguez was then, but the argument for blowing the budget to sign him is a similar one. Making Too Much of Too Little Jason Heyward | FanGraphs Baseball Ottoneu Fantasy Baseball - playercard - FanGraphs Staff Two - Jason Heyward While hes never going to be a big stolen base threat, hes a quality athlete for a power forward-sized corner outfielder. Dodgers' Jason Heyward on new environment that's more his speed Nick Frasso, who had a 1.83 ERA and 76 strikeouts in 54 innings last season, was acquired from the Blue Jays in . Heyward, a .211-hitter in 2021 and 2022, made significant swing changes over the winter. He has been a well above-average hitter in the majors at an age when most players are in a short-season league, A-Ball or college. and play-by-play data provided by Sports Info Solutions. FanGraphs crowdsourcing puts Heywards predicted contract at eight years and $184 million while Dave Cameron predicted a return to the Cardinals on a nine-year, $195 million contract with an opt-out after four years, making the value of the contract in excess of $200 million. The chart below shows the varying WAR averages from above for Jason Heyward comps at age-26 through age-30, as well as 26-35. Players are always free to change their minds about anything. and play-by-play data provided by Sports Info Solutions. Trying to Put a Value on Jason Heyward in Free Agency Dodgers vs. Diamondbacks game thread - True Blue LA Good defensive outfielders might simply be a smaller subset of that group overall. Contact David at david.golebiewski@gmail.com and check out his work at Journalist For Hire. Higgins over one inning. Additionally, Heyward had no say in November 2014, when his hometown Atlanta Braves, the club for whom he had foregone a full-ride scholarship to UCLA, traded him to the St. Louis Cardinals. Only Garrett Jones (three of 108) had a smaller percentage of GDPs with a minimum of 100 opportunities. Every other player produced at an incredibly high level from age 26 to age 35, maintaining their hitting line from 26 to 35 that they had in their early 20s. For an awfully consistent hitter, Jason Heyward is considered an awfully frustrating hitter. Play-by-play data prior to 2002 was obtained free of charge from and is copyrighted FanGraphs currently estimates the cost of a win at around $8 million. Heyward is coming off his age-21 season, having just turned 22 this past August. Thats just how it goes. Gallo got the upper hand on the Red Sox in his second inning at-bat, drawing a walk to nullify Boston's shift. Going solely by offense, this group has a total bust rate of one in three. The Pirates suggested that Oviedo begin throwing a sinker because his four-seam fastball naturally sinks. A year ago, Jason Heyward was a fantasy baseball stud muffin. When we know nothing else about Jason Heyward except the way he hits singles, doubles, triples, home runs and walks without regard for his offensive contributions on the basepaths or his defense, his comps would be worth $159 million. Jason Heyward Minor & Fall Leagues Statistics - Baseball-Reference.com 2023 Jason Heyward Projections Dodgers outfielder Jason Heyward had glowing praise for manager Dave Roberts, whom he calls a "baseball rat" who loves being around the game. Heyward and David Peralta, a pair of veteran left-handed hitters, could see time against right-handed pitchers. Castellanos hit just .263/.305/.389 for a 94 wRC+ (matching his career-worst mark . Solid production, that, despite some disappointing seasons mixed in. Play-by-play data prior to 2002 was obtained free of charge from and is copyrighted Gotta elevate if youre going to be pull-focused. The coaches that were working with me were trying to get me to throw a sinker because sometimes my fastball sinks, Oviedo said. The line was rough from lefty starter Austin Gomber on Tuesday against the Rangers four runs on five hits, including a Clint Frazier home run, while recording two outs. Using the players from the chart above, here is how those players played from age 26 through age 30, the first five years of a potential Jason Heyward contract. 2023 Pre-Season Projections In particular, Heyward has a .188 BABIP on ground balls. Heyward went first to third on a single 15 of 32 times according to BIS, and thats not quite Trout-level (62%), but it was 15th-best of 180 qualified players. Heyward hasnt shown quite the same level of plate discipline this season, as his rate of swinging at pitches out of the strike zone has increased by about four percentage points (24.2 percent to 28.3 percent; the MLB average is 29-30 percent). Whether he finds a home with Cleveland certainly wont depend on whether Quinn can maintain his power output. Heywards .113 ISO was no less than 71 points below his career mark entering this year, he slugged just .384 and notched only 58 RBIs, despite making about one-third of his plate appearances as the fifth hitter in the Braves order. With such an advanced plate approach and gargantuan numbers in the minors (he slashed .323/.408/.555 while rising from High-A to Triple-A as a teenager in 2009), Heyward reached the show years before most hitters do. You could make a strong argument that it was the most impressive performance for a batter under age 21 since The Kid took Seattle by storm back in 1990. I looked for outfielders from 1960 to 2007 who produced defensive runs above average (which includes the positional adjustment) within 20 runs of Heywards 61.9 runs above average mark. And then well see if he wants to stay on the same course. The other groups, with players similar to some aspect of Heywards game, but inferior in other ways, make Heyward a high-quality player, one perhaps worthy of a $200 million contract, but not a Hall of Famer. Their average WAR is below. But Trejo, who came to Spring Training to try to change some minds, had a change in latitude because Gold Glove second baseman Brendan Rodgers sustained a dislocated left shoulder in the previous game. Manager Dave Roberts indicated Taylor would spend 20 to 25 percent of the games there, in addition to his usual work in the outfield. Teams should, and likely do, look at adding years to a contract as spreading out money over a longer time period rather than seeking an extra year of value. FanGraphs projects San Diego as the . 2023 600 PA / 200 IP Projections Steamer600. Heywards year wasnt in the same realm as Ott, Mantle or A-Rod, but he outdid Willie Mays, Hank Aaron (outside of the top 25 with a 103 OPS+) and Johnny Bench, among many others, and kept company with Junior Griffey. With Gavin Lux out for the season, Dodgers plot avenues to contend once Play-by-play data prior to 2002 was obtained free of charge from and is copyrighted Shelby Miller is a good young pitcher, but straight up for Heyward? Roberts described Jason Heyward, the former Cub who came to Dodgers camp as a non-roster invite, as more than adequate in the field at center. Jason Heyward LAD OF L Born: 08/09/1989 Age: 33 FanGraphs Player Page Auctions are not allowed at this time On MLB 40-man: NO Acquired: Free Agent (CHC) Dec'22 Positions OF Overall Last 10. Theres no disputing that Heyward was frustrating to watch at times in 2011. But for now, we can revel in the fact that Jason Heyward, yeah he does a pretty good Mike Trout impression. That search reveals the following players. by Retrosheet. Heaney added that, in the regular season, he probably wouldnt have thrown that pitch in that situation. I looked through age 25, but lacking enough comps, expanded the age range to 26 years old. Those are just selective links, but they show Heyward with a right-center approach, and a good amount of batted-ball authority. He went first to home on a double six of nine times, which is about average. The above comparison paints an incredibly optimistic and rosy view of Heywards future, but there is some evidence to suggest that phenoms like Heyward age better than the rest of the population. All Win Expectancy, Leverage Index, Run Expectancy, and Fans Scouting Report data licenced from TangoTiger.com. Injuries happen and players decline unexpectedly. Only Al Kaline, Willie Mays, Ken Griffey, Jr., and Alex Rodriguez were within 15 runs on defense and ahead of him on offense. by Handedness, 2007 June Amateur Draft - Round: 1, Pick: 14, Overall: 14, Team: Atlanta Braves. Meanwhile, the team is likely stuck with big contracts for the likes of B.J. Jason Heyward - Stats - Batting | FanGraphs Baseball Yeah, if continued this would make him shiftable. Cubs president Jed Hoyer announced Monday the club intends to release veteran outfielder Jason Heyward from the final year of his deal at the end of the 2022 season. by Handedness, swung at more pitches thrown outside of the strike zone. - His average ranking is 7.5. by Retrosheet. ESPN, FanGraphs, MLB Pipeline . Taylor may also appear at third base in Cactus League games. All UZR (ultimate zone rating) calculations are provided courtesy of Mitchel Lichtman. After a 27 homer and 21 steal campaign and the fact that After a 27 homer and 21 steal campaign and the fact that Justin Upton was acquired to hit directly One of the hottest young prospects in baseball right now is Atlanta's Jason Heyward. That is a major boost for lefty pull hitters like Soto (who hit 38.1 percent of his balls in play to the right field side last season, per Fangraphs). Major League and Minor League Baseball data provided by Major League Baseball. Heyward is actually the most accomplished offensive player in the group due to being worth more than 20 runs above average on the bases, but strictly as a hitter, these are the players with similar profiles. Updated: Saturday, March 4, 2023 4:51 PM ET, Park Factors All major league baseball data including pitch type, velocity, batted ball location, . Dodgers' Jason Heyward on new environment that's more his speed. All Win Expectancy, Leverage Index, Run Expectancy, and Fans Scouting Report data licenced from TangoTiger.com. When Ellsbury was Heywards age, he had just completed his second full season. and play-by-play data provided by Sports Info Solutions. Looking at the numbers from 26 to 30 in each group, it is understandable why Heywards agents would seek an opt-out clause within the first five years. Miguel Rojas and Chris Taylor will play shortstop for now. Heyward improved slightly in the years to come but still struggled to get back to the form he showed prior to coming to Chicago. Phillies (24th, 1.4 WAR) With Bryce Harper undergoing Tommy John surgery and likely to miss the first half of the season, the spotlight is again on Nick Castellanos, whose performance in the first year of his five-year, $100 million deal was downright dreadful. Its where most hitters are strongest, and when Heyward had his powerful 2012, he hit just three of his homers the other way. He hit 27 home runs in 2012, but recorded just 13 of them this year along with an isolated slugging percentage of .146, essentially league average. Updated: Saturday, March 4, 2023 4:51 PM ET, Park Factors Jordan Walker has a 28.5 ft/s Sprint Speed, good for an 80% percentile red lollipop once he gets a Savant slider. Here is how they performed over their next ten seasons. Hes still really young Just a couple years ago, it was Jason Heyward and Giancarlo Stanton that were tearing up baseball, looking like an unprecedented pair of rookie talents ready to continue on into the stratosphere together. Jason Heyward Los Angeles Dodgers Age: 33 Bats/Throws: L/L 6' 5" / 240 OF Quick Look 2022 Games Played: CF: 26 RF: 21 RotoWire News: Dodgers manager Dave Roberts said Tuesday that Heyward. Jason Alias Heyward (born August 9, 1989), nicknamed " J-Hey " is an American professional baseball right fielder for the Los Angeles Dodgers organization. That should tell you all you need to know about the Blue Jays plans for their fourth outfield spot, and this assignment is something he plans to grab with both hands. Perhaps its fitting, if random, that Heywards most recent highlights on MLB.com are all home-run-saving catches. 2023 Updated In-Season Projections Andrelton A. Simmons 198994 18888426 . All Win Expectancy, Leverage Index, Run Expectancy, and Fans Scouting Report data licenced from TangoTiger.com. Jason Heyward - Graphs - WAR - Batting | FanGraphs Baseball Its ever so early, but it seems like he could be working on that. and play-by-play data provided by Sports Info Solutions. Im not all that mad about it. Jason Heyward is Coming Around | RotoGraphs Fantasy Baseball The former Yankees and Rangers first baseman topped out at 97 mph from the left side and struck out the first batter he faced swinging on an offspeed pitch. Nov 6 2015 Extended a $15.8 million qualiying offer by St. Louis (STL) Nov 17 2014 Traded to St. Louis (STL) from Atlanta (ATL) with Jordan Walden for Shelby Miller and Tyrell Jenkins. Believe it or not, on a team with Chipper Jones, Brian McCann, Freddie Freeman, and Martin Prado, Bourn was tied with Jason Heyward with the most fWAR for position players on the Atlanta Braves. Roberts described Jason Heyward, the former Cub who came to Dodgers camp as a non-roster invite, as "more than adequate" in the field at center. Jason Heyward is good | The Hardball Times - tht.fangraphs.com While those deals might no look great now, age is a major factor. Contracts matter Miller is entering his first year of arbitration while Heyward is now a FA. Biggio knows right field well. The shift movement had already produced some . He clobbered 27 homers when he was 22. Jason Heyward - Graphs - - Batting | FanGraphs Baseball The names brought up most recently with regard to Heyward are Jacoby Ellsbury, who got seven years and $153 million from the New York Yankees two years ago, and Carl Crawford, who received seven years and $142 million from the Boston Red Sox five years ago. The team is heavy on left-handed hitting outfielders, with David Peralta locked in along with Jason Heyward fighting for a spot and top prospect James Outman on the cusp. and play-by-play data provided by Sports Info Solutions. Very obviously, he can sting a ball when he gets extended. Its impossible for anyone outside of the Braves training room and front office to assess Heywards health. Averaging out to a league average player for a total of ten years is a decent feat. Fantasy Fallout: With Gavin Lux Out, Could A Sleeper Emerge? Heywards 131 OPS+ as a 20-year-old bested that of Willie Mays and put him in the same company as Ken Griffey Jr. Its no surprise, then, that there were enormous expectations for the Braves right fielder in 2011: the fans projected him to hit above .290 while getting on base nearly 40 percent of the time and slugging north of .500. Cubs Plan to Release Jason Heyward From Final Year of Deal Where does all this leave the J-Hey Kid? Heyward went first to third on a single 15 of 32 times according to BIS, and that's not quite Trout-level (62%), but it was 15th-best of 180 qualified players. Kiner-Falefa had a slash line of .261/.314/.327 . Others call it a slurve or even a whirlybird. Using a similar exercise, I found only 28 players with at least 25 fWAR and bWAR (FanGraphs WAR and Baseball Reference WAR, respectively) since the end of World War II. 'Weird cat': Dodgers' Tony Gonsolin reveals hilarious opinion of Noah All major league baseball data including pitch type, velocity, batted ball location, He recently contributed an article on Mike Stanton's slugging to The Hardball Times Annual 2012. Los Angeles Dodgers Betting Prediction: Road to the MLB 2023 Season. It took the Dodgers six games into their Cactus League schedule, but they finally achieved the ultimate spring . Jason Heyward opens baseball academy in Chicago from TrueBlueLA.com at 2/4/2023 5:04:00 AM. So I was like, Im just gonna kind of throw it at him down the middle. And he hit it out. Lacking in top shelf power, Heyward still provided solid numbers on offense, and after a disappointing start with he Cardinals, he hit .306/.375/.455 with a wRC+ of 130 from the beginning of May to the end of the season. And Heywards 57 percent ground ball rate places him among lightweights like Alexi Casilla, Kosuke Fukudome and Elvis Andrus. One spring of spring-training data. It really had good numbers on the computer. For comparisons sake, the average age for hitters in the Low-A South Atlantic League (which Heyward aced at 18) was 21.4 in 2011. It doesnt matter that Heyward has still been productive; he looks like he should be a beast of a hitter, so its odd to see him hit singles and doubles. All Win Expectancy, Leverage Index, Run Expectancy, and Fans Scouting Report data licenced from TangoTiger.com. Over the last four years, he hasnt had a wRC+ under 110 or over 121, but theres so clearly the potential for so much more than that too few people have come away satisfied. Jason Heyward Contract Details, Salaries, & Earnings | Spotrac He's won Tout Wars three times, LABR twice, and got his first NFBC Main Event win in 2021. Crawford debuted young, but due to a team-friendly contract, he did not become a free agent until after his age-28 season, three years older than Heyward. All this before you look at his 11 home runs, easily a career low, less than the 14 he put up in two separate seasons when he averaged just 448 plate appearances. Forget about everything else. A few trade pickups last year are rated highly in 2023. Jeff, one of the authors of the fantasy baseball guide,The Process, writes for RotoGraphs, The Hardball Times, Rotowire, Baseball America, and BaseballHQ. I am obligated to mention that Mike Trout still has two more seasons to add to his totals. Just how healthy is Heyward? Im sure you dont think about ground-ball pull rate very often, but I like it as an indicator of change. All of this he managed while only stealing 21 bases. His expected BABIP (xBABIP), which is based on home runs, strikeouts, stolen bases, and batted ball data, was about .315. Heyward was a little below the average offensively and well above the average defensively. However, if we want some sort of hybrid, we can look at the declines of the offensive comps and the defensive comps and combine them. With all this hype Im still trying to figure out why the Braves basically gave this guy away?? Jason Heyward, who was instrumental in the lore of the infamous Game 7 rain delay, was once the thorn in the side of fans looking for a scapegoat to blame for the club's lack of spending. All Win Expectancy, Leverage Index, Run Expectancy, and Fans Scouting Report data licenced from TangoTiger.com. For a big man, he can run a little That Aaron Boone batting order is plugged into the Lineup . Gavin Lux is likely . As expected, their value on defense drops over the next ten years, but a curious thing has happened to their offensive numbers simultaneously. 2022 600 PA / 200 IP Projections Steamer600. This spring, Heyward has hit 18 flies and liners, and hes sent two of them toward left. by Handedness, Whos Been (Un)luckyThe Starting Pitchers. Dodgers trade rumors: Isiah Kiner-Falefa & Tim Anderson seem unlikely Rojas, a 34-year-old, glove-first veteran, was acquired in the winter to aid the groups depth. All Win Expectancy, Leverage Index, Run Expectancy, and Fans Scouting Report data licenced from TangoTiger.com. And its easy to identify the problem: Observers wish that Heyward would hit for more power. Aggravating as it might be, we dont know the answers to those questions. While Heyward did fall into some bad habits at the plate last year and has some durability concerns, this is a perfect time to buy low on a youthful outfielder with superstar potential. dodgersnation.com - Jeff Snider 10h Read more on dodgersnation.com Trejo, 27, is fine with pushing for all the starts he can at second if thats his opportunity to be in the lineup. Dodgers Add Jason Heyward LA signs five-time Gold Glover to a minor league deal with an invite to major league camp via Bleacher Report Jason Heyward Cubs Moving On from Heyward Team. But hes younger than Dustin Ackley, Jemile Weeks, Paul Goldschmidt, Dee Gordon, Jason Kipnis and a host of other rookies who had successful debuts in 2011, and hes younger than top-ranked prospects entering 2012 like Devin Mesoraco, Brett Jackson and Travis DArnaud. FanGraphs Membership. Is Jason Heyward Being Properly Valued? | RotoGraphs Fantasy Baseball Currently, Yahoo! Jason Heyward - MLB Trade Rumors Advanced fielding statistics Ultimate Zone Rating (. by Handedness, 2007 June Amateur Draft - Round: 1, Pick: 14, Overall: 14, Team: Atlanta Braves. Thats why I want to make sure you understand Im not really concluding anything. Progress report: Chicago Cubs - The San Diego Union-Tribune He has played in Major League Baseball (MLB) for the Atlanta Braves, St. Louis Cardinals and Chicago Cubs. The Chicago Cubs outfielder hit a third of batted balls in play in the air in 2016, but saw his slugging percentage dip to a career-low (.325) due to his exit velocity . Composite Dodgers 2023 team prospect rankings Last year he hit for almost zero power, and his grounder pull rate went from 68% to 43%. Carpenter upped his power output, and his grounder pull rate jumped from 53% to 68%. Oviedo began incorporating a sinker at the suggestion of coaches upon being acquired from the Cardinals at the Trade Deadline. Prior to the . Now, just two years later, weve got Mike Trout and Bryce Harper one-upping them. All major league baseball data including pitch type, velocity, batted ball location, Non-roster invitee Ronald Guzmn, who is in Giants camp as a two-way player, made his pitching debut in the ninth, surrendering a solo shot to P.J. Heyward was coming off a rookie season in which he popped 18 home runs and batted .277/.393/.456 at age 20, tying him with Ty Cobb for the 15th best OPS+ ever for a hitter who qualified for the batting title but couldnt legally buy a beer. Jason Heyward CF B/T: L/L 6' 5" 240LBS Age: 33 Draft: 2007 Rd: 1, #14, Atlanta Braves Henry County (GA) HS Player Apps Pitch Highlighter Player Similarity Shifts Swing Take Profile illustrator Zone Swing Profile Player Comparison Transaction History Show Random Video Stats Statcast Standard Splits Game Logs MLB Minors Batting Fielding Visuals Massive crying face emoji. Major League and Minor League Baseball data provided by Major League Baseball. Everything that could go wrong did, yet he held his own at age 21. Anyhow, heres where Heyward has hit baseballs in spring 2016: Of course Im wary of talking about anything based on so little data. FanSided 1 day Jason Heyward . Tony Conigliaro was unfortunately never the same after a pitch permanently injured him, while other players like Ruben Sierra and Carlos Baerga simply did not produce despite opportunities.